BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Louisville 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Louisville 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
27.17 |
30.44 (+3.28) |
28.83 |
32.58 (+3.75) |
32.58 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
405.50 |
444.82 (+39.32) |
397.08 |
425.33 (+28.25) |
425.33 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.96 |
6.36 (+0.40) |
6.14 |
6.69 (+0.55) |
6.69 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
20.17 |
17.17 (-3.00) |
21.33 |
16.42 (-4.91) |
16.42 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
347.08 |
330.34 (-16.74) |
310.67 |
297.39 (-13.28) |
297.39 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.27 |
5.15 (-0.13) |
5.06 |
4.77 (-0.29) |
4.77 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-01 |
@Georgia Tech |
35.65 |
23.62 |
-12.03 |
59.26 |
69.29% |
W 39-34 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-07 |
Murray State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 56-0 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Indiana |
35.93 |
18.59 |
-17.34 |
54.53 |
77.82% |
W 21-14 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Boston College |
39.61 |
16.09 |
-23.52 |
55.71 |
87.73% |
W 56-28 |
4-0 |
| 2023-09-29 |
@NC State |
22.69 |
20.76 |
-1.94 |
43.45 |
53.10% |
W 13-10 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Notre Dame |
23.16 |
29.46 |
+6.31 |
52.62 |
39.88% |
W 33-20 |
6-0 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Pittsburgh |
31.28 |
13.61 |
-17.66 |
44.89 |
78.33% |
L 21-38 |
6-1 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Duke |
24.83 |
19.93 |
-4.90 |
44.77 |
57.86% |
W 23-0 |
7-1 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Virginia Tech |
32.83 |
19.82 |
-13.01 |
52.65 |
70.87% |
W 34-3 |
8-1 |
| 2023-11-10 |
Virginia |
39.43 |
16.58 |
-22.85 |
56.02 |
86.65% |
W 31-24 |
9-1 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Miami |
25.61 |
23.73 |
-1.89 |
49.34 |
53.03% |
W 38-31 |
10-1 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Kentucky |
32.56 |
21.51 |
-11.05 |
54.06 |
67.72% |
L 31-38 |
10-2 |
| 2023-12-03 |
@Florida State |
16.18 |
28.24 |
+12.06 |
44.42 |
30.66% |
L 6-16 |
10-3 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-28 |
@USC |
37.33 |
36.52 |
-0.82 |
73.85 |
51.31% |
L 28-42 |
10-4 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 10-4 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-11 |
0.02% |
| 4-10 |
0.18% |
| 5-9 |
0.91% |
| 6-8 |
3.56% |
| 7-7 |
9.50% |
| 8-6 |
17.78% |
| 9-5 |
23.38% |
| 10-4 |
22.52% |
| 11-3 |
14.52% |
| 12-2 |
5.97% |
| 13-1 |
1.50% |
| 14-0 |
0.16% |