BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Auburn 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Auburn 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
23.18 |
31.39 (+8.20) |
25.64 |
27.40 (+1.77) |
27.40 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
367.73 |
424.53 (+56.80) |
322.55 |
333.37 (+10.83) |
333.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.51 |
6.39 (+0.88) |
5.33 |
5.57 (+0.24) |
5.57 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
30.73 |
22.59 (-8.14) |
22.73 |
16.63 (-6.10) |
16.63 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
406.55 |
338.06 (-68.49) |
374.09 |
345.05 (-29.04) |
345.05 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.68 |
4.81 (-0.87) |
5.88 |
5.25 (-0.63) |
5.25 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
UMass |
48.87 |
12.41 |
-36.45 |
61.28 |
99.90% |
W 59-14 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-10 |
@California |
28.94 |
28.73 |
-0.21 |
57.66 |
50.33% |
W 14-10 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Samford |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-13 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Texas A&M |
18.98 |
28.47 |
+9.49 |
47.44 |
34.78% |
L 10-27 |
3-1 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Georgia |
16.75 |
27.96 |
+11.21 |
44.71 |
32.02% |
L 20-27 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@LSU |
27.33 |
39.41 |
+12.07 |
66.74 |
30.64% |
L 18-48 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Ole Miss |
23.11 |
23.13 |
+0.03 |
46.24 |
49.96% |
L 21-28 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Mississippi State |
25.71 |
12.17 |
-13.54 |
37.88 |
71.71% |
W 27-13 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Vanderbilt |
35.53 |
16.14 |
-19.39 |
51.67 |
81.09% |
W 31-15 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Arkansas |
27.04 |
19.77 |
-7.27 |
46.81 |
61.66% |
W 48-10 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-18 |
New Mexico State |
29.13 |
9.42 |
-19.71 |
38.55 |
81.61% |
L 10-31 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Alabama |
15.05 |
25.43 |
+10.37 |
40.48 |
33.36% |
L 24-27 |
6-6 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-30 |
@Maryland |
24.12 |
25.43 |
+1.31 |
49.55 |
47.91% |
L 13-31 |
6-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-11 |
0.01% |
| 3-10 |
0.18% |
| 4-9 |
1.30% |
| 5-8 |
5.36% |
| 6-7 |
13.74% |
| 7-6 |
22.71% |
| 8-5 |
25.23% |
| 9-4 |
18.69% |
| 10-3 |
9.33% |
| 11-2 |
2.88% |
| 12-1 |
0.53% |
| 13-0 |
0.04% |