BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
UMass 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
UMass 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
11.82 |
6.24 (-5.58) |
22.45 |
21.65 (-0.80) |
21.65 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
267.55 |
234.85 (-32.70) |
344.09 |
327.19 (-16.90) |
327.19 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
3.98 |
3.51 (-0.47) |
5.68 |
5.34 (-0.34) |
5.34 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
33.64 |
39.71 (+6.08) |
39.36 |
45.05 (+5.69) |
45.05 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
373.45 |
433.25 (+59.79) |
431.09 |
488.30 (+57.21) |
488.30 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.16 |
7.03 (+0.86) |
7.23 |
7.67 (+0.44) |
7.67 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-08-26 |
@New Mexico State |
20.16 |
38.21 |
+18.05 |
58.37 |
21.04% |
W 41-30 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-02 |
@Auburn |
12.41 |
48.87 |
+36.45 |
61.28 |
0.10% |
L 14-59 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Miami (OH) |
19.88 |
31.91 |
+12.03 |
51.78 |
30.70% |
L 28-41 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Eastern Michigan |
27.45 |
22.35 |
-5.10 |
49.80 |
58.18% |
L 17-19 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-23 |
New Mexico |
35.52 |
37.12 |
+1.60 |
72.64 |
47.44% |
L 31-34 |
1-4 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Arkansas State |
31.12 |
38.81 |
+7.69 |
69.93 |
37.66% |
L 28-52 |
1-5 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Toledo |
26.63 |
43.28 |
+16.65 |
69.91 |
23.30% |
L 24-41 |
1-6 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Penn State |
5.43 |
65.83 |
+60.41 |
71.26 |
0.10% |
L 0-63 |
1-7 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Army |
21.08 |
30.13 |
+9.05 |
51.21 |
35.49% |
W 21-14 |
2-7 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Merrimack |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-21 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Liberty |
24.59 |
61.07 |
+36.49 |
85.66 |
0.10% |
L 25-49 |
3-8 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Connecticut |
29.47 |
26.19 |
-3.29 |
55.66 |
55.27% |
L 18-31 |
3-9 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
1.65% |
| 2-10 |
9.72% |
| 3-9 |
22.21% |
| 4-8 |
29.32% |
| 5-7 |
22.72% |
| 6-6 |
10.85% |
| 7-5 |
3.01% |
| 8-4 |
0.47% |
| 9-3 |
0.04% |