BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
California 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
California 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
23.00 |
22.99 (-0.01) |
31.64 |
37.26 (+5.62) |
37.26 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
360.00 |
353.76 (-6.24) |
398.45 |
441.60 (+43.15) |
441.60 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.52 |
5.41 (-0.11) |
5.45 |
5.92 (+0.48) |
5.92 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.18 |
23.91 (-5.27) |
34.09 |
28.52 (-5.57) |
28.52 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
433.18 |
394.55 (-38.63) |
417.09 |
359.23 (-57.86) |
359.23 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.90 |
5.38 (-0.52) |
5.82 |
5.06 (-0.76) |
5.06 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@North Texas |
55.78 |
32.68 |
-23.09 |
88.46 |
87.04% |
W 58-21 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-10 |
Auburn |
28.73 |
28.94 |
+0.21 |
57.66 |
49.67% |
L 10-14 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Idaho |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-17 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-24 |
@Washington |
25.54 |
48.40 |
+22.86 |
73.93 |
13.33% |
L 32-59 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Arizona State |
36.72 |
22.89 |
-13.82 |
59.61 |
72.17% |
W 24-21 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-08 |
Oregon State |
28.40 |
40.21 |
+11.80 |
68.61 |
31.07% |
L 40-52 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Utah |
19.74 |
32.49 |
+12.75 |
52.23 |
29.56% |
L 14-34 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
USC |
44.11 |
51.64 |
+7.53 |
95.74 |
37.92% |
L 49-50 |
3-5 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Oregon |
18.54 |
50.95 |
+32.41 |
69.49 |
0.10% |
L 19-63 |
3-6 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Washington State |
35.87 |
35.36 |
-0.51 |
71.24 |
50.81% |
W 42-39 |
4-6 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Stanford |
39.69 |
27.57 |
-12.12 |
67.26 |
69.43% |
W 27-15 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-26 |
@UCLA |
21.76 |
28.17 |
+6.41 |
49.93 |
39.72% |
W 33-7 |
6-6 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-17 |
@Texas Tech |
31.81 |
34.63 |
+2.82 |
66.44 |
45.48% |
L 14-34 |
6-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.02% |
| 2-11 |
0.39% |
| 3-10 |
2.52% |
| 4-9 |
8.98% |
| 5-8 |
18.99% |
| 6-7 |
25.52% |
| 7-6 |
23.23% |
| 8-5 |
13.68% |
| 9-4 |
5.22% |
| 10-3 |
1.26% |
| 11-2 |
0.17% |
| 12-1 |
0.01% |