BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
UNLV 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
UNLV 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.00 |
20.82 (-3.18) |
33.50 |
32.26 (-1.24) |
32.26 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
333.91 |
303.22 (-30.68) |
401.58 |
392.40 (-9.18) |
392.40 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.21 |
4.77 (-0.44) |
6.19 |
5.85 (-0.34) |
5.85 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.18 |
36.05 (+6.87) |
28.08 |
31.42 (+3.33) |
31.42 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
395.27 |
458.49 (+63.22) |
391.00 |
431.65 (+40.65) |
431.65 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.65 |
6.43 (+0.78) |
6.08 |
6.43 (+0.35) |
6.43 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Bryant |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 44-14 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Michigan |
12.53 |
51.96 |
+39.44 |
64.49 |
0.10% |
L 7-35 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Vanderbilt |
42.83 |
29.03 |
-13.80 |
71.86 |
72.13% |
W 40-37 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-24 |
@UTEP |
37.86 |
20.73 |
-17.13 |
58.59 |
77.47% |
W 45-28 |
3-1 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Hawai'i |
44.81 |
21.99 |
-22.82 |
66.81 |
86.61% |
W 44-20 |
4-1 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Nevada |
39.98 |
17.75 |
-22.23 |
57.72 |
85.66% |
W 45-27 |
5-1 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Colorado State |
40.41 |
25.35 |
-15.06 |
65.76 |
74.16% |
W 25-23 |
6-1 |
| 2023-10-29 |
@Fresno State |
33.29 |
31.70 |
-1.58 |
64.99 |
52.54% |
L 24-31 |
6-2 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@New Mexico |
46.99 |
25.42 |
-21.57 |
72.41 |
84.60% |
W 56-14 |
7-2 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Wyoming |
31.07 |
28.05 |
-3.02 |
59.11 |
54.84% |
W 34-14 |
8-2 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Air Force |
28.48 |
30.39 |
+1.92 |
58.87 |
46.93% |
W 31-27 |
9-2 |
| 2023-11-25 |
San José State |
33.82 |
32.73 |
-1.09 |
66.54 |
51.75% |
L 31-37 |
9-3 |
| 2023-12-02 |
Boise State |
31.91 |
35.25 |
+3.34 |
67.16 |
44.64% |
L 20-44 |
9-4 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-27 |
Kansas |
28.56 |
41.95 |
+13.39 |
70.51 |
28.52% |
L 36-49 |
9-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-12 |
0.00% |
| 3-11 |
0.05% |
| 4-10 |
0.41% |
| 5-9 |
1.95% |
| 6-8 |
6.49% |
| 7-7 |
14.56% |
| 8-6 |
23.08% |
| 9-5 |
24.97% |
| 10-4 |
17.89% |
| 11-3 |
8.23% |
| 12-2 |
2.12% |
| 13-1 |
0.25% |