BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Nevada 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Nevada 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
16.82 |
14.12 (-2.70) |
18.36 |
11.87 (-6.49) |
11.87 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
288.73 |
272.44 (-16.28) |
295.64 |
248.89 (-46.75) |
248.89 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.38 |
4.06 (-0.32) |
4.53 |
3.85 (-0.69) |
3.85 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.73 |
36.83 (+8.10) |
33.45 |
33.34 (-0.12) |
33.34 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
374.64 |
452.81 (+78.18) |
432.55 |
431.25 (-1.29) |
431.25 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.49 |
6.32 (+0.84) |
6.94 |
6.99 (+0.05) |
6.99 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@USC |
14.61 |
59.43 |
+44.82 |
74.04 |
0.10% |
L 14-66 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Idaho |
Non-FBS Opponent |
L 6-33 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-17 |
Kansas |
11.17 |
43.86 |
+32.69 |
55.02 |
0.10% |
L 24-31 |
0-3 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Texas State |
20.54 |
36.41 |
+15.87 |
56.95 |
24.54% |
L 24-35 |
0-4 |
| 2023-10-01 |
@Fresno State |
12.38 |
33.83 |
+21.45 |
46.21 |
15.59% |
L 9-27 |
0-5 |
| 2023-10-14 |
UNLV |
17.75 |
39.98 |
+22.23 |
57.72 |
14.34% |
L 27-45 |
0-6 |
| 2023-10-22 |
@San Diego State |
13.50 |
25.39 |
+11.89 |
38.89 |
30.92% |
W 6-0 |
1-6 |
| 2023-10-29 |
New Mexico |
23.66 |
26.31 |
+2.65 |
49.97 |
45.76% |
W 34-24 |
2-6 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Hawai'i |
21.23 |
23.43 |
+2.20 |
44.66 |
46.47% |
L 14-27 |
2-7 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Utah State |
21.14 |
39.58 |
+18.44 |
60.72 |
20.43% |
L 24-41 |
2-8 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Colorado State |
15.88 |
29.64 |
+13.76 |
45.52 |
27.94% |
L 20-30 |
2-9 |
| 2023-11-26 |
Wyoming |
12.72 |
29.95 |
+17.23 |
42.67 |
22.36% |
L 6-42 |
2-10 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
4.84% |
| 2-10 |
18.32% |
| 3-9 |
29.33% |
| 4-8 |
26.42% |
| 5-7 |
14.65% |
| 6-6 |
5.01% |
| 7-5 |
1.25% |
| 8-4 |
0.17% |
| 9-3 |
0.02% |