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TCU 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.70 26.70 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 379.93 379.93 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.70 5.70 (+0.00)

TCU 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 38.75 44.77 (+6.02) 30.45 34.83 (+4.38) 34.83 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 459.92 485.08 (+25.17) 464.36 504.07 (+39.71) 504.07 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 6.76 7.36 (+0.60) 6.18 6.57 (+0.39) 6.57 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 25.67 17.22 (-8.45) 29.82 22.86 (-6.96) 22.86 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 392.58 339.02 (-53.56) 420.91 378.42 (-42.49) 378.42 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.43 4.78 (-0.65) 5.79 5.42 (-0.37) 5.42 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.1

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 Colorado 41.87 29.81 -12.06 71.67 69.34% L 42-45 0-1
2023-09-10 Nicholls Non-FBS Opponent W 41-6 1-1
2023-09-17 @Houston 36.56 22.86 -13.70 59.42 71.97% W 36-13 2-1
2023-09-23 SMU 31.37 30.01 -1.36 61.38 52.17% W 34-17 3-1
2023-10-01 West Virginia 34.34 28.33 -6.00 62.67 59.63% L 21-24 3-2
2023-10-08 @Iowa State 24.22 29.63 +5.41 53.86 41.33% L 14-27 3-3
2023-10-14 BYU 36.25 21.42 -14.83 57.67 73.79% W 44-11 4-3
2023-10-21 @Kansas State 23.75 42.25 +18.50 65.99 20.33% L 3-41 4-4
2023-11-02 @Texas Tech 30.13 29.38 -0.76 59.51 51.22% L 28-35 4-5
2023-11-12 Texas 18.23 35.95 +17.71 54.18 21.59% L 26-29 4-6
2023-11-18 Baylor 42.39 22.65 -19.75 65.04 81.67% W 42-17 5-6
2023-11-24 @Oklahoma 24.66 44.79 +20.12 69.45 17.72% L 45-69 5-7

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
5-7 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-11 0.02%
2-10 0.22%
3-9 1.54%
4-8 5.98%
5-7 14.89%
6-6 24.00%
7-5 25.66%
8-4 17.91%
9-3 7.52%
10-2 1.98%
11-1 0.28%
12-0 0.01%