BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
FAQ |
The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
SMU 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
SMU 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
37.82 |
39.24 (+1.42) |
38.25 |
34.27 (-3.98) |
34.27 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
482.27 |
488.37 (+6.10) |
455.75 |
426.53 (-29.22) |
426.53 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.41 |
6.48 (+0.06) |
6.43 |
5.87 (-0.56) |
5.87 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
36.36 |
33.47 (-2.89) |
18.83 |
21.83 (+3.00) |
21.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
463.64 |
446.93 (-16.70) |
307.67 |
321.35 (+13.69) |
321.35 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.48 |
6.27 (-0.21) |
4.59 |
4.91 (+0.33) |
4.91 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Louisiana Tech |
50.85 |
16.00 |
-34.85 |
66.85 |
99.90% |
W 38-14 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Oklahoma |
24.27 |
42.96 |
+18.69 |
67.23 |
20.02% |
L 11-28 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Prairie View |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 69-0 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@TCU |
30.01 |
31.37 |
+1.36 |
61.38 |
47.83% |
L 17-34 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Charlotte |
45.38 |
8.94 |
-36.44 |
54.32 |
99.90% |
W 34-16 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-12 |
@East Carolina |
35.06 |
11.60 |
-23.46 |
46.66 |
87.63% |
W 31-10 |
4-2 |
| 2023-10-20 |
@Temple |
50.50 |
12.36 |
-38.14 |
62.86 |
99.90% |
W 55-0 |
5-2 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Tulsa |
51.71 |
15.03 |
-36.68 |
66.73 |
99.90% |
W 69-10 |
6-2 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Rice |
41.64 |
23.43 |
-18.21 |
65.06 |
79.20% |
W 36-31 |
7-2 |
| 2023-11-11 |
North Texas |
55.00 |
22.74 |
-32.26 |
77.74 |
99.90% |
W 45-21 |
8-2 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Memphis |
42.99 |
31.07 |
-11.92 |
74.07 |
69.11% |
W 38-34 |
9-2 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Navy |
38.07 |
7.81 |
-30.26 |
45.88 |
98.53% |
W 59-14 |
10-2 |
| 2023-12-02 |
@Tulane |
27.55 |
20.30 |
-7.25 |
47.85 |
61.62% |
W 26-14 |
11-2 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-28 |
@Boston College |
38.74 |
23.59 |
-15.15 |
62.33 |
74.30% |
L 14-23 |
11-3 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 11-3 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 7-7 |
0.04% |
| 8-6 |
0.66% |
| 9-5 |
4.59% |
| 10-4 |
16.33% |
| 11-3 |
31.13% |
| 12-2 |
30.90% |
| 13-1 |
14.27% |
| 14-0 |
2.08% |