BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 00:00 on Tuesday, January 31, 2023

UCF 2022 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Raw 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.47 27.02 27.02 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 391.09 374.09 374.09 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.65 5.65 (+0.00)

UCF 2022 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 29.36 26.08 (-3.28) 32.58 34.58 (+1.99) 34.58 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 375.00 352.75 (-22.25) 470.25 495.08 (+24.83) 495.08 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.80 5.58 (-0.21) 6.22 6.48 (+0.26) 6.48 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 26.18 27.68 (+1.50) 24.25 22.43 (-1.82) 22.43 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 377.09 387.12 (+10.03) 402.42 411.41 (+8.99) 411.41 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.07 5.19 (+0.12) 5.95 6.34 (+0.39) 6.34 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +3.1

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2022-09-01 South Carolina State Non-FBS Opponent W 56-10 1-0
2022-09-09 Louisville 25.05 27.70 -2.65 52.74 45.75% L 14-20 1-1
2022-09-17 @Florida Atlantic 40.32 21.10 +19.22 61.42 80.82% W 40-14 2-1
2022-09-24 Georgia Tech 32.49 16.81 +15.68 49.30 75.14% W 27-10 3-1
2022-10-05 SMU 43.92 35.26 +8.66 79.18 63.89% W 41-19 4-1
2022-10-13 Temple 42.18 15.37 +26.81 57.55 92.99% W 70-13 5-1
2022-10-22 @East Carolina 35.78 29.64 +6.14 65.43 59.84% L 13-34 5-2
2022-10-29 Cincinnati 28.16 22.97 +5.19 51.13 58.33% W 25-21 6-2
2022-11-05 @Memphis 34.63 31.21 +3.42 65.83 55.49% W 35-28 7-2
2022-11-12 @Tulane 25.31 32.95 -7.64 58.26 37.74% W 38-31 8-2
2022-11-19 Navy 32.52 21.31 +11.21 53.82 67.97% L 14-17 8-3
2022-11-27 @South Florida 48.90 25.51 +23.40 74.41 87.53% W 46-39 9-3
2022-12-03 @Tulane 25.31 32.95 -7.64 58.26 37.74% L 28-45 9-4

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
9-4 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
2-11 0.01%
3-10 0.04%
4-9 0.34%
5-8 1.72%
6-7 6.20%
7-6 14.28%
8-5 22.99%
9-4 24.91%
10-3 18.35%
11-2 8.57%
12-1 2.33%
13-0 0.27%