BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 00:00 on Tuesday, January 31, 2023
SMU 2022 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.47 |
27.02 |
27.02 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
391.09 |
374.09 |
374.09 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.65 |
5.65 (+0.00) |
SMU 2022 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
36.82 |
35.09 (-1.72) |
37.82 |
39.95 (+2.13) |
39.95 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
463.73 |
467.17 (+3.44) |
482.09 |
484.44 (+2.35) |
484.44 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.17 |
6.07 (-0.10) |
6.42 |
6.49 (+0.07) |
6.49 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
30.18 |
31.72 (+1.54) |
36.36 |
32.59 (-3.77) |
32.59 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
423.18 |
423.91 (+0.73) |
464.00 |
436.05 (-27.95) |
436.05 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.02 |
6.06 (+0.04) |
6.53 |
6.34 (-0.19) |
6.34 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2022-09-03 |
@North Texas |
48.68 |
33.67 |
+15.01 |
82.35 |
74.07% |
W 48-10 |
1-0 |
| 2022-09-10 |
Lamar |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-16 |
2-0 |
| 2022-09-17 |
@Maryland |
30.43 |
39.72 |
-9.29 |
70.16 |
35.10% |
L 27-34 |
2-1 |
| 2022-09-24 |
TCU |
30.20 |
52.56 |
-22.37 |
82.76 |
14.13% |
L 34-42 |
2-2 |
| 2022-10-05 |
@UCF |
35.26 |
43.92 |
-8.66 |
79.18 |
36.11% |
L 19-41 |
2-3 |
| 2022-10-14 |
Navy |
38.04 |
29.20 |
+8.84 |
67.24 |
64.19% |
W 40-34 |
3-3 |
| 2022-10-22 |
Cincinnati |
32.79 |
32.55 |
+0.24 |
65.34 |
50.39% |
L 27-29 |
3-4 |
| 2022-10-29 |
@Tulsa |
47.09 |
34.22 |
+12.87 |
81.32 |
70.64% |
W 45-34 |
4-4 |
| 2022-11-05 |
Houston |
47.52 |
42.09 |
+5.43 |
89.61 |
58.71% |
W 77-63 |
5-4 |
| 2022-11-12 |
@South Florida |
55.24 |
35.32 |
+19.92 |
90.56 |
81.95% |
W 41-23 |
6-4 |
| 2022-11-18 |
@Tulane |
30.05 |
43.94 |
-13.89 |
73.98 |
27.72% |
L 24-59 |
6-5 |
| 2022-11-26 |
Memphis |
42.96 |
38.30 |
+4.67 |
81.26 |
57.49% |
W 34-31 |
7-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.17% |
| 3-9 |
1.40% |
| 4-8 |
5.60% |
| 5-7 |
14.02% |
| 6-6 |
23.12% |
| 7-5 |
25.54% |
| 8-4 |
18.72% |
| 9-3 |
8.53% |
| 10-2 |
2.50% |
| 11-1 |
0.36% |
| 12-0 |
0.02% |