BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
UCF 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
UCF 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
32.58 |
33.61 (+1.03) |
31.09 |
31.75 (+0.66) |
31.75 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
470.25 |
478.37 (+8.12) |
475.18 |
485.52 (+10.34) |
485.52 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.22 |
6.22 (+0.01) |
7.23 |
7.15 (-0.07) |
7.15 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.25 |
23.44 (-0.81) |
26.45 |
22.34 (-4.12) |
22.34 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
406.67 |
406.21 (-0.46) |
394.36 |
358.03 (-36.33) |
358.03 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.01 |
6.12 (+0.11) |
5.78 |
5.53 (-0.25) |
5.53 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-08-31 |
Kent State |
56.52 |
6.26 |
-50.27 |
62.78 |
99.90% |
W 56-6 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Boise State |
28.29 |
27.71 |
-0.57 |
56.00 |
50.92% |
W 18-16 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Villanova |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 48-14 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-24 |
@Kansas State |
19.82 |
41.87 |
+22.05 |
61.69 |
14.63% |
L 31-44 |
3-1 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Baylor |
39.43 |
22.17 |
-17.27 |
61.60 |
77.70% |
L 35-36 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Kansas |
25.70 |
32.80 |
+7.10 |
58.50 |
38.62% |
L 22-51 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Oklahoma |
21.82 |
44.29 |
+22.48 |
66.11 |
13.95% |
L 29-31 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
West Virginia |
31.47 |
27.72 |
-3.75 |
59.18 |
56.01% |
L 28-41 |
3-5 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Cincinnati |
33.22 |
20.77 |
-12.45 |
53.99 |
69.97% |
W 28-26 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Oklahoma State |
32.19 |
29.89 |
-2.30 |
62.08 |
53.68% |
W 45-3 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Texas Tech |
27.70 |
28.96 |
+1.26 |
56.66 |
47.98% |
L 23-24 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Houston |
36.32 |
20.85 |
-15.47 |
57.18 |
74.82% |
W 27-13 |
6-6 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-22 |
Georgia Tech |
37.74 |
28.90 |
-8.84 |
66.65 |
64.18% |
L 17-30 |
6-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-11 |
0.01% |
| 3-10 |
0.24% |
| 4-9 |
1.55% |
| 5-8 |
6.08% |
| 6-7 |
14.77% |
| 7-6 |
23.93% |
| 8-5 |
25.38% |
| 9-4 |
17.64% |
| 10-3 |
7.93% |
| 11-2 |
2.15% |
| 12-1 |
0.29% |
| 13-0 |
0.01% |