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Baylor 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.70 26.70 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 379.93 379.93 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.70 5.70 (+0.00)

Baylor 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 30.36 35.72 (+5.36) 22.45 26.45 (+3.99) 26.45 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 416.09 438.77 (+22.68) 375.82 410.78 (+34.96) 410.78 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.70 6.24 (+0.53) 5.35 5.55 (+0.19) 5.55 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 28.09 20.82 (-7.27) 35.73 31.52 (-4.21) 31.52 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 382.45 334.21 (-48.25) 437.18 382.41 (-54.78) 382.41 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.54 4.89 (-0.65) 6.85 6.41 (-0.44) 6.41 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +3.5

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 Texas State 42.24 32.29 -9.95 74.52 65.96% L 31-42 0-1
2023-09-09 Utah 15.03 32.79 +17.76 47.82 21.51% L 13-20 0-2
2023-09-16 Long Island University Non-FBS Opponent W 30-7 1-2
2023-09-23 Texas 14.24 46.65 +32.41 60.89 0.10% L 6-38 1-3
2023-09-30 @UCF 22.17 39.43 +17.27 61.60 22.30% W 36-35 2-3
2023-10-08 Texas Tech 25.75 35.71 +9.96 61.46 34.03% L 14-39 2-4
2023-10-21 @Cincinnati 28.70 29.26 +0.56 57.97 49.10% W 32-29 3-4
2023-10-28 Iowa State 20.89 36.16 +15.28 57.05 25.50% L 18-30 3-5
2023-11-04 Houston 31.40 29.76 -1.64 61.16 52.64% L 24-25 3-6
2023-11-11 @Kansas State 17.08 53.56 +36.48 70.64 0.10% L 25-59 3-7
2023-11-18 @TCU 22.65 42.39 +19.75 65.04 18.33% L 17-42 3-8
2023-11-26 West Virginia 27.78 37.89 +10.11 65.67 33.78% L 31-34 3-9

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
3-9 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-11 1.38%
2-10 8.19%
3-9 20.69%
4-8 28.66%
5-7 23.79%
6-6 12.18%
7-5 4.16%
8-4 0.85%
9-3 0.10%
10-2 0.00%