BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Troy 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Troy 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
25.17 |
21.80 (-3.37) |
29.75 |
25.22 (-4.53) |
25.22 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
362.25 |
341.04 (-21.21) |
388.50 |
365.04 (-23.46) |
365.04 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.78 |
5.46 (-0.32) |
6.07 |
5.70 (-0.37) |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
17.58 |
20.10 (+2.51) |
16.08 |
16.39 (+0.30) |
16.39 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
323.08 |
335.15 (+12.07) |
296.33 |
296.96 (+0.62) |
296.96 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.68 |
4.90 (+0.22) |
4.79 |
4.89 (+0.10) |
4.89 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Stephen F. Austin |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 48-30 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Kansas State |
15.64 |
34.07 |
+18.43 |
49.72 |
20.44% |
L 13-42 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
James Madison |
22.35 |
20.36 |
-2.00 |
42.71 |
53.20% |
L 14-16 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Western Kentucky |
32.58 |
15.61 |
-16.97 |
48.18 |
77.22% |
W 27-24 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Georgia State |
30.11 |
14.05 |
-16.06 |
44.17 |
75.75% |
W 28-7 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Arkansas State |
34.71 |
12.59 |
-22.12 |
47.29 |
85.48% |
W 37-3 |
4-2 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Army |
24.71 |
9.00 |
-15.72 |
33.71 |
75.21% |
W 19-0 |
5-2 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Texas State |
37.42 |
19.23 |
-18.19 |
56.65 |
79.17% |
W 31-13 |
6-2 |
| 2023-11-02 |
South Alabama |
25.33 |
16.18 |
-9.15 |
41.51 |
64.67% |
W 28-10 |
7-2 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Louisiana Monroe |
36.11 |
6.78 |
-29.33 |
42.89 |
97.04% |
W 45-14 |
8-2 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Louisiana |
35.17 |
15.66 |
-19.51 |
50.83 |
81.29% |
W 31-24 |
9-2 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Southern Mississippi |
38.92 |
13.29 |
-25.62 |
52.21 |
91.10% |
W 35-17 |
10-2 |
| 2023-12-02 |
Appalachian State |
32.98 |
20.34 |
-12.64 |
53.32 |
70.27% |
W 49-23 |
11-2 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-23 |
@Duke |
16.51 |
23.12 |
+6.61 |
39.63 |
39.39% |
L 10-17 |
11-3 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 11-3 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-11 |
0.00% |
| 4-10 |
0.02% |
| 5-9 |
0.11% |
| 6-8 |
0.77% |
| 7-7 |
3.27% |
| 8-6 |
9.56% |
| 9-5 |
19.22% |
| 10-4 |
26.38% |
| 11-3 |
23.60% |
| 12-2 |
12.91% |
| 13-1 |
3.75% |
| 14-0 |
0.42% |