BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Duke 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Duke 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
31.64 |
31.20 (-0.43) |
26.45 |
31.05 (+4.59) |
31.05 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
421.27 |
424.24 (+2.96) |
334.18 |
363.02 (+28.84) |
363.02 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.13 |
6.27 (+0.14) |
5.53 |
6.02 (+0.49) |
6.02 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
23.09 |
25.16 (+2.07) |
20.91 |
17.83 (-3.08) |
17.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
385.91 |
391.74 (+5.83) |
367.27 |
367.60 (+0.33) |
367.60 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.57 |
5.73 (+0.16) |
5.24 |
5.09 (-0.16) |
5.09 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-05 |
Clemson |
22.08 |
21.33 |
-0.75 |
43.41 |
51.20% |
W 28-7 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Lafayette |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 42-7 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Northwestern |
31.66 |
19.33 |
-12.33 |
51.00 |
69.78% |
W 38-14 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Connecticut |
37.98 |
8.51 |
-29.48 |
46.49 |
97.28% |
W 41-7 |
4-0 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Notre Dame |
22.70 |
31.36 |
+8.66 |
54.06 |
36.10% |
L 14-21 |
4-1 |
| 2023-10-15 |
NC State |
25.07 |
19.44 |
-5.64 |
44.51 |
59.04% |
W 24-3 |
5-1 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Florida State |
15.47 |
30.09 |
+14.63 |
45.56 |
26.54% |
L 20-38 |
5-2 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Louisville |
19.93 |
24.83 |
+4.90 |
44.77 |
42.14% |
L 0-23 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-02 |
Wake Forest |
33.19 |
14.27 |
-18.92 |
47.45 |
80.35% |
W 24-21 |
6-3 |
| 2023-11-12 |
@North Carolina |
32.02 |
29.90 |
-2.12 |
61.92 |
53.40% |
L 45-47 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Virginia |
35.08 |
21.24 |
-13.84 |
56.32 |
72.20% |
L 27-30 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Pittsburgh |
32.54 |
13.16 |
-19.38 |
45.70 |
81.08% |
W 30-19 |
7-5 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-23 |
Troy |
23.12 |
16.51 |
-6.61 |
39.63 |
60.61% |
W 17-10 |
8-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-11 |
0.01% |
| 3-10 |
0.06% |
| 4-9 |
0.59% |
| 5-8 |
2.90% |
| 6-7 |
8.80% |
| 7-6 |
17.76% |
| 8-5 |
24.62% |
| 9-4 |
23.11% |
| 10-3 |
14.79% |
| 11-2 |
5.93% |
| 12-1 |
1.28% |
| 13-0 |
0.14% |