BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Navy 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Navy 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
23.27 |
22.83 (-0.44) |
17.09 |
10.66 (-6.43) |
10.66 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
327.73 |
320.50 (-7.23) |
274.64 |
231.55 (-43.08) |
231.55 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.74 |
4.46 (-0.28) |
4.71 |
4.07 (-0.64) |
4.07 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
25.27 |
23.36 (-1.91) |
24.45 |
27.02 (+2.56) |
27.02 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
351.55 |
333.63 (-17.91) |
337.73 |
351.38 (+13.65) |
351.38 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.09 |
6.12 (+0.03) |
5.76 |
6.16 (+0.40) |
6.16 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-08-26 |
@Notre Dame |
4.45 |
45.92 |
+41.47 |
50.37 |
0.10% |
L 3-42 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Wagner |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 24-0 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-14 |
@Memphis |
15.26 |
37.40 |
+22.14 |
52.66 |
14.49% |
L 24-28 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
South Florida |
24.05 |
25.45 |
+1.40 |
49.50 |
47.75% |
L 30-44 |
1-3 |
| 2023-10-07 |
North Texas |
24.25 |
27.69 |
+3.44 |
51.94 |
44.48% |
W 27-24 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Charlotte |
15.32 |
14.14 |
-1.18 |
29.46 |
51.89% |
W 14-0 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Air Force |
11.31 |
23.34 |
+12.02 |
34.65 |
30.72% |
L 6-17 |
3-4 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Temple |
20.58 |
15.34 |
-5.25 |
35.92 |
58.41% |
L 18-32 |
3-5 |
| 2023-11-11 |
UAB |
25.27 |
24.16 |
-1.11 |
49.43 |
51.78% |
W 31-6 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
East Carolina |
13.77 |
12.78 |
-0.99 |
26.54 |
51.59% |
W 10-0 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@SMU |
7.81 |
38.07 |
+30.26 |
45.88 |
1.47% |
L 14-59 |
5-6 |
| 2023-12-09 |
@Army |
9.76 |
16.35 |
+6.59 |
26.11 |
39.43% |
L 11-17 |
5-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.48% |
| 2-10 |
3.81% |
| 3-9 |
12.12% |
| 4-8 |
22.89% |
| 5-7 |
26.52% |
| 6-6 |
20.55% |
| 7-5 |
10.11% |
| 8-4 |
2.99% |
| 9-3 |
0.48% |
| 10-2 |
0.04% |