BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Memphis 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Memphis 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
32.91 |
31.28 (-1.62) |
38.18 |
34.17 (-4.01) |
34.17 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
415.36 |
395.91 (-19.46) |
439.73 |
417.20 (-22.53) |
417.20 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.77 |
5.45 (-0.31) |
6.51 |
6.09 (-0.42) |
6.09 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.82 |
27.90 (-1.92) |
30.36 |
34.10 (+3.74) |
34.10 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
394.45 |
376.28 (-18.17) |
442.09 |
461.54 (+19.45) |
461.54 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.42 |
5.31 (-0.11) |
6.48 |
6.80 (+0.32) |
6.80 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Bethune-Cookman |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 56-14 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Arkansas State |
43.07 |
31.34 |
-11.73 |
74.41 |
68.82% |
W 37-3 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-14 |
Navy |
37.40 |
15.26 |
-22.14 |
52.66 |
85.51% |
W 28-24 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Missouri |
21.76 |
48.00 |
+26.25 |
69.76 |
7.90% |
L 27-34 |
3-1 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Boise State |
34.39 |
38.04 |
+3.65 |
72.43 |
44.15% |
W 35-32 |
4-1 |
| 2023-10-13 |
Tulane |
29.97 |
26.56 |
-3.41 |
56.53 |
55.47% |
L 21-31 |
4-2 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@UAB |
52.24 |
34.47 |
-17.76 |
86.71 |
78.49% |
W 45-21 |
5-2 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@North Texas |
51.79 |
37.72 |
-14.07 |
89.52 |
72.57% |
W 45-42 |
6-2 |
| 2023-11-04 |
South Florida |
53.85 |
32.35 |
-21.50 |
86.19 |
84.48% |
W 59-50 |
7-2 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Charlotte |
42.23 |
19.09 |
-23.14 |
61.32 |
87.11% |
W 44-38 |
8-2 |
| 2023-11-18 |
SMU |
31.07 |
42.99 |
+11.92 |
74.07 |
30.89% |
L 34-38 |
8-3 |
| 2023-11-24 |
@Temple |
50.39 |
20.41 |
-29.97 |
70.80 |
98.07% |
W 45-21 |
9-3 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-29 |
@Iowa State |
23.83 |
41.60 |
+17.77 |
65.44 |
21.50% |
W 36-26 |
10-3 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 10-3 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-11 |
0.00% |
| 3-10 |
0.01% |
| 4-9 |
0.29% |
| 5-8 |
1.78% |
| 6-7 |
6.89% |
| 7-6 |
17.55% |
| 8-5 |
27.35% |
| 9-4 |
26.07% |
| 10-3 |
14.89% |
| 11-2 |
4.48% |
| 12-1 |
0.66% |
| 13-0 |
0.04% |