BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024

Cincinnati 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.70 26.70 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 379.93 379.93 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.70 5.70 (+0.00)

Cincinnati 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 28.18 26.09 (-2.09) 20.27 22.44 (+2.17) 22.44 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 380.82 344.89 (-35.92) 392.73 411.04 (+18.31) 411.04 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.74 5.23 (-0.51) 5.41 5.57 (+0.16) 5.57 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 21.27 19.57 (-1.70) 31.55 28.83 (-2.71) 28.83 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 335.36 318.08 (-17.28) 402.27 384.62 (-17.66) 384.62 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 4.63 4.54 (-0.10) 6.91 6.59 (-0.31) 6.59 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.5

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 Eastern Kentucky Non-FBS Opponent W 66-13 1-0
2023-09-09 @Pittsburgh 21.34 24.36 +3.02 45.70 45.15% W 27-21 2-0
2023-09-16 Miami (OH) 20.93 18.22 -2.71 39.15 54.35% L 24-31 2-1
2023-09-23 Oklahoma 16.87 50.44 +33.56 67.31 0.10% L 6-20 2-2
2023-09-30 @BYU 21.96 30.14 +8.18 52.09 36.88% L 27-35 2-3
2023-10-14 Iowa State 16.46 32.81 +16.35 49.27 23.77% L 10-30 2-4
2023-10-21 Baylor 29.26 28.70 -0.56 57.97 50.90% L 29-32 2-5
2023-10-29 @Oklahoma State 20.81 40.40 +19.59 61.21 18.59% L 13-45 2-6
2023-11-04 UCF 20.77 33.22 +12.45 53.99 30.03% L 26-28 2-7
2023-11-12 @Houston 23.90 28.63 +4.73 52.53 42.42% W 24-14 3-7
2023-11-18 @West Virginia 20.17 37.76 +17.59 57.93 21.79% L 21-42 3-8
2023-11-26 Kansas 20.07 38.58 +18.51 58.65 20.32% L 16-49 3-9

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
3-9 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-11 1.22%
2-10 7.04%
3-9 18.00%
4-8 26.51%
5-7 24.46%
6-6 14.66%
7-5 6.11%
8-4 1.66%
9-3 0.29%
10-2 0.04%