BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 00:00 on Tuesday, January 31, 2023

Troy 2022 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Raw 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.47 27.02 27.02 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 391.09 374.09 374.09 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.65 5.65 (+0.00)

Troy 2022 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 19.91 16.33 (-3.58) 25.17 22.83 (-2.34) 22.83 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 327.00 303.88 (-23.12) 362.50 351.23 (-11.27) 351.23 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.00 4.59 (-0.42) 5.80 5.63 (-0.17) 5.63 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 28.18 34.14 (+5.96) 17.58 19.38 (+1.80) 19.38 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 350.82 404.34 (+53.52) 321.17 332.36 (+11.19) 332.36 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.16 5.86 (+0.70) 4.67 5.04 (+0.36) 5.04 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +1.3

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2022-09-03 @Ole Miss 18.31 32.21 -13.90 50.52 27.71% L 10-28 0-1
2022-09-10 Alabama A&M Non-FBS Opponent W 38-17 1-1
2022-09-17 @Appalachian State 29.62 25.70 +3.92 55.32 56.29% L 28-32 1-2
2022-09-24 Marshall 17.25 12.56 +4.70 29.81 57.53% W 16-7 2-2
2022-10-01 @Western Kentucky 23.17 24.12 -0.95 47.29 48.48% W 34-27 3-2
2022-10-08 Southern Mississippi 24.55 11.58 +12.97 36.14 70.81% W 27-10 4-2
2022-10-15 Texas State 29.65 9.98 +19.67 39.63 81.55% W 17-14 5-2
2022-10-20 @South Alabama 19.97 19.62 +0.36 39.59 50.57% W 10-6 6-2
2022-11-05 @Louisiana 23.70 19.81 +3.89 43.51 56.24% W 23-17 7-2
2022-11-12 Army 23.69 15.67 +8.02 39.36 62.87% W 10-9 8-2
2022-11-19 Louisiana Monroe 34.86 15.17 +19.69 50.04 81.58% W 34-16 9-2
2022-11-26 @Arkansas State 32.77 17.58 +15.19 50.35 74.37% W 48-19 10-2
2022-12-03 Coastal Carolina 28.05 17.30 +10.75 45.35 67.24% W 45-26 11-2

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
11-2 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-12 0.00%
2-11 0.01%
3-10 0.14%
4-9 0.79%
5-8 3.02%
6-7 8.51%
7-6 16.82%
8-5 23.56%
9-4 23.25%
10-3 15.30%
11-2 6.71%
12-1 1.68%
13-0 0.20%