BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 00:00 on Tuesday, January 31, 2023
Toledo 2022 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.47 |
27.02 |
27.02 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
391.09 |
374.09 |
374.09 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.65 |
5.65 (+0.00) |
Toledo 2022 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
32.82 |
25.65 (-7.16) |
31.67 |
27.41 (-4.26) |
27.41 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
433.91 |
377.48 (-56.43) |
398.75 |
370.75 (-28.00) |
370.75 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.57 |
5.65 (-0.92) |
5.69 |
5.20 (-0.49) |
5.20 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.00 |
27.39 (+5.39) |
27.67 |
33.53 (+5.87) |
33.53 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
348.73 |
393.21 (+44.48) |
350.08 |
401.40 (+51.32) |
401.40 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.79 |
5.41 (+0.63) |
4.92 |
5.82 (+0.90) |
5.82 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2022-09-01 |
Long Island University |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 37-0 |
1-0 |
| 2022-09-10 |
UMass |
42.78 |
11.45 |
+31.33 |
54.22 |
99.90% |
W 55-10 |
2-0 |
| 2022-09-17 |
@Ohio State |
17.04 |
62.37 |
-45.33 |
79.41 |
0.10% |
L 21-77 |
2-1 |
| 2022-09-24 |
@San Diego State |
24.96 |
23.60 |
+1.37 |
48.56 |
52.19% |
L 14-17 |
2-2 |
| 2022-10-01 |
Central Michigan |
37.74 |
24.66 |
+13.07 |
62.40 |
70.97% |
W 38-17 |
3-2 |
| 2022-10-08 |
@Northern Illinois |
40.34 |
31.43 |
+8.92 |
71.77 |
64.30% |
W 52-32 |
4-2 |
| 2022-10-15 |
Kent State |
34.58 |
29.23 |
+5.35 |
63.81 |
58.58% |
W 52-31 |
5-2 |
| 2022-10-22 |
@Buffalo |
30.17 |
30.06 |
+0.12 |
60.23 |
50.19% |
L 27-34 |
5-3 |
| 2022-10-29 |
@Eastern Michigan |
36.81 |
28.58 |
+8.23 |
65.40 |
63.20% |
W 27-24 |
6-3 |
| 2022-11-09 |
Ball State |
34.58 |
21.62 |
+12.96 |
56.20 |
70.79% |
W 28-21 |
7-3 |
| 2022-11-16 |
Bowling Green |
38.87 |
24.30 |
+14.57 |
63.17 |
73.37% |
L 35-42 |
7-4 |
| 2022-11-25 |
@Western Michigan |
29.24 |
17.94 |
+11.30 |
47.18 |
68.12% |
L 14-20 |
7-5 |
| 2022-12-03 |
@Ohio |
33.42 |
37.18 |
-3.77 |
70.60 |
43.96% |
W 17-7 |
8-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-11 |
0.01% |
| 3-10 |
0.09% |
| 4-9 |
0.69% |
| 5-8 |
3.24% |
| 6-7 |
9.63% |
| 7-6 |
18.97% |
| 8-5 |
25.51% |
| 9-4 |
23.00% |
| 10-3 |
13.66% |
| 11-2 |
4.50% |
| 12-1 |
0.72% |