BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Illinois 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Illinois 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.91 |
30.16 (+5.25) |
24.50 |
28.73 (+4.23) |
28.73 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
376.64 |
409.22 (+32.58) |
387.50 |
408.22 (+20.72) |
408.22 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.14 |
5.65 (+0.51) |
5.83 |
6.38 (+0.55) |
6.38 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
13.36 |
12.20 (-1.16) |
29.42 |
29.38 (-0.04) |
29.38 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
274.91 |
271.37 (-3.54) |
378.42 |
409.49 (+31.07) |
409.49 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.36 |
4.20 (-0.16) |
5.34 |
5.44 (+0.10) |
5.44 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.3 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Toledo |
34.43 |
28.65 |
-5.78 |
63.08 |
59.27% |
W 30-28 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-08 |
@Kansas |
23.16 |
42.03 |
+18.88 |
65.19 |
19.73% |
L 23-34 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Penn State |
11.38 |
42.37 |
+30.99 |
53.75 |
0.29% |
L 13-30 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Florida Atlantic |
35.59 |
19.62 |
-15.97 |
55.21 |
75.61% |
W 23-17 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Purdue |
32.58 |
34.23 |
+1.65 |
66.81 |
47.35% |
L 19-44 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Nebraska |
21.05 |
21.65 |
+0.60 |
42.70 |
49.03% |
L 7-20 |
2-4 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Maryland |
25.55 |
40.45 |
+14.89 |
66.00 |
26.11% |
W 27-24 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Wisconsin |
22.75 |
28.01 |
+5.27 |
50.76 |
41.55% |
L 21-25 |
3-5 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Minnesota |
28.50 |
29.58 |
+1.07 |
58.08 |
48.28% |
W 27-26 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Indiana |
34.25 |
28.51 |
-5.73 |
62.76 |
59.20% |
W 48-45 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Iowa |
11.58 |
22.65 |
+11.06 |
34.23 |
32.25% |
L 13-15 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Northwestern |
28.52 |
30.34 |
+1.82 |
58.86 |
47.08% |
L 43-45 |
5-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.06% |
| 1-11 |
0.77% |
| 2-10 |
3.99% |
| 3-9 |
11.25% |
| 4-8 |
20.17% |
| 5-7 |
25.16% |
| 6-6 |
20.77% |
| 7-5 |
12.06% |
| 8-4 |
4.53% |
| 9-3 |
1.07% |
| 10-2 |
0.16% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |
Post-Season Analysis
Big 10 Post-Season Analysis