BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
BYU 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
BYU 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.09 |
29.34 (-0.75) |
21.45 |
25.02 (+3.57) |
25.02 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
418.82 |
407.36 (-11.46) |
301.64 |
314.40 (+12.77) |
314.40 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.55 |
6.36 (-0.19) |
4.79 |
4.93 (+0.15) |
4.93 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
30.36 |
28.96 (-1.41) |
31.09 |
26.09 (-5.00) |
26.09 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
407.55 |
388.31 (-19.24) |
419.45 |
374.33 (-45.13) |
374.33 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.01 |
5.84 (-0.17) |
5.93 |
5.50 (-0.43) |
5.50 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-03 |
Sam Houston State |
31.47 |
14.64 |
-16.82 |
46.11 |
76.98% |
W 14-0 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Southern Utah |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 41-16 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Arkansas |
24.57 |
28.12 |
+3.55 |
52.69 |
44.31% |
W 38-31 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Kansas |
20.18 |
37.70 |
+17.52 |
57.88 |
21.91% |
L 27-38 |
3-1 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Cincinnati |
30.14 |
21.96 |
-8.18 |
52.09 |
63.12% |
W 35-27 |
4-1 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@TCU |
21.42 |
36.25 |
+14.83 |
57.67 |
26.21% |
L 11-44 |
4-2 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Texas Tech |
23.03 |
29.62 |
+6.59 |
52.65 |
39.43% |
W 27-14 |
5-2 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Texas |
10.41 |
42.65 |
+32.24 |
53.05 |
0.10% |
L 6-35 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@West Virginia |
23.19 |
34.90 |
+11.71 |
58.09 |
31.22% |
L 7-37 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-12 |
Iowa State |
18.79 |
30.68 |
+11.89 |
49.47 |
30.93% |
L 13-45 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Oklahoma |
19.01 |
45.82 |
+26.81 |
64.82 |
7.00% |
L 24-31 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Oklahoma State |
24.00 |
36.69 |
+12.69 |
60.69 |
29.65% |
L 34-40 |
5-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.51% |
| 2-10 |
4.34% |
| 3-9 |
14.65% |
| 4-8 |
25.76% |
| 5-7 |
26.78% |
| 6-6 |
17.94% |
| 7-5 |
7.64% |
| 8-4 |
2.03% |
| 9-3 |
0.33% |
| 10-2 |
0.02% |